Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Breesus (stat analysis)


Manning
attempts 11-20 of a Game is where he has his highest QB rating 111.7
attempts 31+ of a Game is where he has his worst QB rating 81.4

Brees
attempts 1-10 of a Game is Where he has his highest QB rating of 117.7
attempts 11-20 of a Game is Where he has his Lowest QB rating of 99.1


the Third Quarter is typically Manning's worst
6 of his interceptions were thrown in this quarter(most of any quarter)
qb rating 81.6 (lowest of any quarter)
Half of his sacks have come in the Third quarter
66.4 completion percentage(lowest of any quarter)

the Fourth Quarter is typically Manning's best
1 interceptions
qb rating of 115.3
3 sacks
71.8 completion percentage

the Second Quarter is typically Brees's Worst
7 interceptions thrown in this quarter
qb rating of 105.9
8 sacks
64.2 completion percentage

the First Quarter is typically Brees's Best
2 interceptions thrown
qb rating of 114.9
5 sacks
79.9 completion percentage

Manning's best quarter is slightly better than Drew's Best quarter
Drew's Worst Quarter is way better than Manning's Worst quarter

since the game will be played on Grass
Brees on Grass
QB Rating 98.1
He has been sacked 8 times on grass compared to 12 on turf

Brees has been worse on Grass this year than turf pretty much the opposite of Manning

Manning on Grass
QB Rating 121.1
He has been sacked 3 times on Grass compared to 7 on turf

Manning has been way better on grass as opposed to turf this season all of his stats are actually better on Grass

Since we both will technically be away lets see how both did away

Brees
98.1 QB rating
Sacked 11 out of his 20 times
67.8 completion percentage

Manning
112.6 QB Rating (better than at home)
sacked 3 out of his 10 times
73.2 completion percentage

Manning has been way better on the Road this year.
Lets look at situations they may face in games

Last 2 minutes of the Half

Manning
112.6 Rating
0 sacks
67.6 completion percentage

Brees
106.1
3 sacks
61.5

Both dangerous within last 2 minutes but as you can see Manning is beastly within last 2

since we know both of these quarterbacks are great when playing with a lead, lets compare them win behind

Brees
Behind by 1-8 points
128.9 qb rating
7 of his sacks have happened when down by 1-8
74.2 completion percentage

Behind by 9-16
86.0 qb rating
2 of his sacks have happened when down by 9-16
66.7 completion percentage

Manning
behind by 1-8
qb rating 116.2
7 of his 10 sacks have happened when down by 1-8
71.6 completion percentage

behind by 9-16
qb rating 58.4
3 of his 10 sacks happened when down by 9-16
60.5 completion percentage

as you can see this year Brees has been the Better QB when down and should fare better if he falls behind than if Manning Falls behind

One last aspect of game we'll look at final 7 minutes of 4th quarter

Manning
135.8 qb rating
2 of his sacks happened in the final 7 minutes
in the final 7 minutes he has a 75% completion rate

Brees
108.2 qb rating
2 of his sacks happened in the final 7 minutes
in the final 7 minutes he has a 73% completion rate

Though both were very good this year in final minutes Manning has the edge in the waning minutes of a game

Drew Brees has accomplished all of the following throwing the ball 39 (that's an entire game)fewer times than Manning through 14 games:

  • If Drew Brees has a shot at breaking Otto Grahams single season record for yards per attempt of 8.63 (Drew is at 8.54)
  • Drew has a shot of breaking Ken Anderson's completion % record in a single season of 70.55% (Drew is at 70.6%)
  • Drew Brees leads the NFL with 36 touchdowns- 34 pass and 2 rush.
  • Drew Brees leads the NFL with 70.6% completion percentage.
  • Drew Brees leads the NFL in first down passing, 150/212 completing 70.8% with 1900 yards, 8.96 yards per attempt, 18 passing TD's, 2 rushing TD's, and 2 int for a QB rating of 122.8; for the down that sets the tone of down and distance, Drew Brees is by far the best QB in the NFL.
  • Drew is the best on second down with a passer rating of 99.8
  • Drew Brees leads the NFL in passer rating with 109.6
  • Drew Brees is leads the NFL in redzone scoring, with 23 TD's (21 pass and 2 rush) to go with 16 more rushing TD's by our RB's.
  • Drew Brees leads the #1 overall offense in yards and scoring, having a very rare top 5 rushing (5th) and passing attack (3rd).
  • Drew Brees leads the NFL in passing against the blitz, with a rating of 129.8 and 13 TD's and 9.91 yards per attempt.

*Drew Bress leads the NFL in downfield passing --passes 21 yards or more in the air, before the catch--
Drew is.... 29/48 (60.4%) for 1024 yards, 12TD's and 3 ints
Manning is 16/54 (29.6%) for 534 yards 7TD's, 4 ints.

  • Drew Brees is the best with passes thrown behind the line of scrimmage with a passer rating of 111.5
  • Drew brees is also the best with passes thrown 11-20 yards (in air from LOS) with a passer rating of 99.9
  • *Drew Brees leads the NFL in passing inside the numbers with a passer rating of 117.9, 21 TD's, 9.5 yards per attempt, and 68.8%
  • Drew Brees is the best throwing to the left side with a passer rating of 114.6
  • Drew Brees is the best throwing to the left sideline with a passer rating of 97.8
  • Drew Brees is the best throwing to the right side with a passer rating of 138.0
  • Drew Brees is the best throwing to the right sideline with a passer rating of 103.1
  • Drew Brees is best in passing yards per ATTEMPT with 8.54
  • Drew Brees is the best passing out of the shotgun with a rating of 106.5
  • Drew Brees is the best passing out of a lone setback with a rating of 114.6
  • Drew Brees is the best in the first 8 games of the season with a passer rating of 106.1
  • Drew Brees is the best in games 9-16 of the season with a passer rating of 113.4
  • Drew Brees is the best in games he wins with a passer rating of 112.3
  • Drew Brees is the best in a final margin of victory of 15+ points with a passer rating of 136.8
  • Drew Brees is the best in a margin of victory of 0-7 points with a passer rating of 101.8
  • Drew Brees is the best on turf, with a passer rating of 114.4
  • Drew Brees is the best indoors with a passer rating of 118.0
  • Drew Brees is the best vs the NFC with a passer rating of 114.1
  • Drew Brees is the best in division play with a passer rating of 112.2
  • Drew Brees is the best in September with a passer rating of 118.1
  • Drew Brees is the best in November with a passer rating of 120.2
  • Drew Brees is the best in December with a passer rating of 103.7
  • Drew Brees is the best when playing from behind by 1-8 points with a passer rating of 126.3
  • Drew Brees is the best when playing from behind by 9-16 points with a passer rating of 86.0
  • Drew Brees is the best in passer rating when playing with a lead (any marigin, all splits and collectively) with 123.1
  • Drew Brees is the best in his first 10 passing attempts with a QB rating of 115.2-- Talk about setting the tone early.
  • Drew has by far the best passer rating with attempts 21+. In other words, once Drew throws more than 20 times in a game (normally when a QB's throws are of most importance because it is later in the game) completing 69.2% for 1816 yards and 16 TD's, Drew is the best with a rating of 116.1!
  • Drew Brees has thrown ZERO!! 0 interceptions in the 4th quarter.
  • Drew Brees is the best in the last two minutes of a half, with 7TD's (6 pass, 1 rush), 9 20+ yard throws, and a qb rating of 104.0
  • Drew Brees is the best in the first half with a passer rating of 106.3
  • Drew Brees is the best in the second half with a passer rating of 113.9
  • Drew Brees is the best in the first quarter with a passer rating of 110.7
  • Drew Brees is the best in the second quarter with a passer rating of 101.8
  • Drew Brees is the best in the third quarter with a passer rating of 114.6
  • Drew Brees has a passer rating of 113.4 in the 4th quarter
  • Drew Brees is the best at home, by far, with a passer rating of 120.1.
  • Drew Brees is the best with 1 or more TE's in formation with passer ratings of 111.1 (1 TE), 110.8 (2 TE), and 132.4 (3+ TE)
  • Drew Brees is the best with NO TE in the formation with a passer rating of 95.7
  • Drew Brees is the best with 2 and 3 WR sets, with a passer rating of 99.2 (2 wr) and 111.1 (3 wr)
  • Drew Brees is the best when sending a man in motion with a passer rating of 134.6.
  • Drew Brees is the best with NO motion with a passer rating of 108.4

Drew Brees

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/player...?playerId=2580

Peyton -
http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/player...?playerId=1428

Manning leads Drew with 15 interceptions.
Manning has 17 more passing yards than Drew.

Manning has a better passer rating for away games with 116.3
Manning plays better during a loss with a passer rating of 95.7 (to Drew's 95.4)
Manning has a better rating when winning by 8-14 points of 87.5 (to Drew's 85.6)
Manning has a better passer rating in the month of October with 111.9
Manning has a better passer rating on grass with 121.9
Manning has a better passer rating outdoors with 102.1
Manning has a better passer rating vs the AFC with a 98.2 (to Drew's 95.4)
Manning has a better passer rating the 4th qtr with 116.0
Manning has a better passer rating during attempts 11-20 with 113.2
Manning has a better passer rating on third down with 114.0
Manning has a better passer rating on fourth down with 126.7
Manning has a better passer rating when the game is tied with 117.1
Manning has a better passer rating throwing to the middle with 126.4
Manning has a better passer rating with passes thrown 1-10 yards (in air) with 99.6
Manning has a better passer rating with 4+ WR's in formation at 114.6

1 comment:

Troy said...

Man, what a great post. Drew won the MVP, but what's most interesting to me is how his role in the offense changed considerably in the Saints final two games: he went from a 4,000 yard secondary-eating QB to the best game managing point guard ever. It must have been at least a little frustrating to continually check down, but I bet that Lombardi Trophy made it easier.

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